Sports Betting, Handicapping, Poker playing tips, Trip journals and Whatever else.
Good Afternoon! It’s Friday, the day before the second race in the U.S. Triple Crown!
They’ve got 5 stakes races for us to handicap. We’re laying everything down as a best bet for the day, the best bet for the race and then our pick 5 plays.
Consider playing some of our bets as a place (betting the horse will come in second) or Show (betting the horse will come in third). These place and show bets will pay well if a long shot shows up in the money.
Race #9: 1 Mile and 1/16 on Turf. 64th Running of the Gallorete Handicap. Grade 3.
I like the #7 Hard Not to Like in this one. She’s run well recently, hitting third in a grade 1 race in Keenland in her last start. I think that race was against tougher competition than this field can bring so I value that more than the other horses. She appears to be a front running horse with decent speed. Yes she is older, already 6, but classier than these others. I also like the #8 Watshachances. I’ll most likely play them both for $5 to win and then box exacta them for $2. I’d also play them both as the first leg of a pick 3 or pick 5.
Race #10: 6 Furlongs on Dirt. 6th Running of the Chick Lang.
A crazy dirty sprint race! #1 Blame Jim didn’t have the distance to handle the Gotham in March, but he’s got speed. I don’t think he’s got enough to win this one though. I like #7 Gimmie Da Lute in this one. He’s raced in a Grade 3 stakes on Derby day this year, running a game 3rd, but he didn’t have enough in there for the mile. Shortened by a furlong, I don’t see any ready he’ll have trouble holding off other horses in this.
Race #11: 5 Furlongs on Turf. 16th Running of the Very One.
A crazy turf sprint, what kinda card is this!? These short races are always, ‘anything can happen’ type races. 5 furlongs is barely more than a half mile! I’m picking #4 Ageless to pull off another win.. If you just want to go with a favorite, #5 Shrinking Violet looks pretty solid, but not unbeatable and won’t pay well.
Since it’s a short sprint on turf, it really could be any horses race. Something about #6 Jewel of a Cat’s recent stakes race performances is sticking with me and #4 Joya Real has solid number at Parx and Monmouth in late 2014. Sure the competition might not be as solid at those tracks, but the speed numbers were Ok. I think that is what matters most in a sport sprint like this. I’m putting in a Medium sized bet on Ageless to win, then doing a trifecta box with Ageless, Jewel of a Cat and Joya Real. hopefully that will pay something decent.
Race #12: 1 Miles and 1/16 on Turf. 114th Running of the Logines Dixie, Grade 2.
There are lots of strong horses in this one. #12 Long On Value stands out with strong performances in his last two starts, beating three horses in his February race at Gulfsteam. #4 Aripeka is the horse who’s run well and beaten Long on Value in his last start. I’m boxing #4 Aripeka with #12 to do my exacta’s. I’m also including #3 Cage Fighter, who only has a bunch of allowance starts and wins in an exacta box to get some longshot value if he’s able to come though on this larger stage.
Race #13: 1 Miles and 3/16 on Dirt. 140th Running of the Xpressbet.com Preakness, Grade 1.
I like #1 American Pharoah here. I know he’s trapped on the inside at post 1, I know that the jockeys and horses have to do extra work to get out of there and not get boxed in. I don’t care. This horse is the real deal and he’ll take this one like he took the Derby. Add #8 Firing Line, and #2 Dortmund. Tell the teller you want a $6 Trifecta wheel, Key the #1 winning with #2 and #8 boxed behind. It’ll cost you $12, and you win if American Pharoah wins and #2 and 8 show up in any order behind. You can thank me later.
I’ll post a recap on Monday highlighting how I did, read the one I posted for the Derby.
Good Luck out there!