3 Game Parlay – Gambling and Winning

Sports Betting, Handicapping, Poker playing tips, Trip journals and Whatever else.

NCAA Week 5 Long Shots & Locks of the Week

Get on these early folks because I’m putting out gems this week. First up the Lock and then the long shot.

Miami at Cincinnati +6.5.:
They play here is MIAMI, The “U” as they are on the rise and they have a good team this year and have shown up so far this season. Cincinnati has not be on their game this year. Temple and Memphis have taken them down by 10+ each . I see this game as a gimmie. Pick Miami -6.5. FYI the line opened at -5 and has steadily moved their way, so the money is on the U.

For the Long Shots of the Week we have unlikely candidates.

WVU at Oklahoma:
The Mountaineers are 3-0 and only -7 against the Sooners. WVU have shown the ability to put up some points and although unlikely an upset win by WVU would not be so unheard of because they have beaten OU in the past. Yes, that was a much more senior laden talented WVU team then this version of the mountaineers are in 2015. Pick: WVU and the points.

Second LSOTW, and very unlikely to win even though at home are The red Raiders of Texas Tech. They showed up big against TCU who have no defense and would likely give up 30points to UTSA or FBS powerhouse villanova. But Baylor at home for Texas Tech is a tough one but at +550 up from the opening line +450 money line a home dog I think is a lock to cover the spread at +17 and might be able to upset the Bears in Lubbock. Pick: Texas Tech

Lastly, my mid major special lock of the week. Wyoming at Appalachian State -25.5. App St is great at killing equal competition, having blanked Howard and Old Dominion on the road in Virginia. Now the Cowboys lose consistently, and they are a young team, but they never lose by more than 21 so with +25 pts this is tough as a 2 pt conversion from the 1 yard line. pick Wyoming how bout dem Cowboys.

Next up, Bowling Green at the University at Buffalo Bulls. The UB bulls are coming off a home loss to Nevada and have a good run game and solid defense. However, The BG Falcons are probably going to win the MAC this year having already topped Maryland and Purdue in their houses. UB put up a good game against Penn St. But will likely fall to the The Falcons. Pick Bowling Green -8.5 now if you think I’m wrong the Bulls are showing up in the +275 to +320 range on the money line, so they’d be a GREAT home long shot. Side note: I am an alumni of UB but I know when I expect a loss and this is one of those games. It would take a lot for then to win.

And as always if doesn’t make dollars it don’t sense”

Ace Liburd

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About Arthur ashy

I'm an 80's baby trying to figure out why adults are so difficult. I have very unhealthy obsession with sports, movies and Television. I am Part time poker player and full time business owner.

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This entry was posted on September 30, 2015 by in Lock of the Week, Long Shot, NCAAF, Sports Betting and tagged , , .