Sports Betting, Handicapping, Poker playing tips, Trip journals and Whatever else.
Good morning gamblers, it’s week 5, and we went 4-1 in last week, fucking finally right!?
So lets bring that good decision making with us into week 5.
This week we’re rolling a 4 game parlay, that’s also cut in two, 2 game parlays.
I’m putting this in as a 2 Team parlay.
Pittsburgh (-6.5) OVER NY Jets – Jets suck in their secondary, Antonio Brown is going to bring the twerk back in a massive beating of the Jets.
Denver (-6.5) OVER Atlanta. – Atlanta, 3-1 are not as good as their record makes them appear. They’re on the road in Denver, who are still playing top 2 Defense in the NFL according to NFL Insiders DVOA Stat..
(as an aside, please click that link, it gives you a great groups of stats about team O and D for free. They explain their reasons and it is helpful when handicapping.)
Then I’m putting this in as a 2 game parlay
Baltimore (-3.5) Over Washington – Baltimore is a top 5 DVOA team, playing at home and coming off a close loss to the Raiders. Washington is coming off a road win against the Giants with lots of scoring on deep plays. I think the Baltimore D will stop that TE passing and big play Washington O.
New England Over Cleveland (+10.5) – Tom Brady is going to throw 5 TD’s today. I don’t see anyway the Browns can even keep it close.
Then I’m playing a 5 game parlay with the above 4 games and this 1.
Philadelphia -2.5 OVER Detroit – Philly are coming off a bye, the D is strong enough (top 6 DVOA) to stop the Lions O, The Lions are 32nd (dead last, man) in DVOA and will have trouble with the passing attack of the Birds.
Good Luck out there.